Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aluminij win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Primorje win was 2-1 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.