Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.56% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Primorje win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.