Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Primorje win was 1-0 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.