Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.97% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.19%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%) , while for a NS Mura win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.