Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.05% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%) , while for a Radomlje win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.