Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.37% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Aluminij win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.