Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.