Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.86%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.