Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.