Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.