Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 71.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.62% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%) , while for a Primorje win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.