Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Maribor win was 0-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.