Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Primorje win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Primorje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.