Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomlje win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomlje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Primorje win was 2-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.