Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 10, 2026 4.00pm
PROfertil ARENA

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartberg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
Austria Vienna 1 - 0 Hartberg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Elias Havel

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
Salzburg 1 - 1 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Hartberg has a probability of 31.19% and a draw has a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Hartberg win is 1-0 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Hartberg 31.19% (+0.04)
Draw 26.15% (-0.04)
Sturm Graz 42.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.57% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.17% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 24.83% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 50.84% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 49.16% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 28.81% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 71.19% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 15.51% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.49% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Hartberg 23.8%
Draw 40.83%
Sturm Graz 35.37%

Team To Score First

Hartberg 42.06% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.76% (-0.05)
Sturm Graz 51.18% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.08%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 29.92%
Over 9 45.8%
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 41.92%
Over 10.5 34.34%
Under 10.5 65.66%

Hartberg Goals

Over 1.5 32.77% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.23% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 11.57% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.43% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.04)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.1% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 42.37% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.63% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.81% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.26% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.74% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hartberg 31.19%
Draw 26.14%
Sturm Graz 42.65%
Hartberg
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.15% (+0.03)
Total : 31.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.14%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.18% (+0.03)
Total : 42.65%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2026 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Ryan Fosso 60' yellowcard
  • Maurice Malone 60' yellowcard
  • Rory Wilson 86' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierländer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Musibau Aziz 64'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Hennig 77'
  • yellowcard Youba Diarra 90'
  • yellowcard Julian Halwachs 90'
  • yellowcard Damjan Kovacevic 90'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dominic Vincze 44' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Heil 79' yellowcard
  • Tobias Kainz 79' yellowcard
  • Tom Ritzy Hülsmann 79' yellowcard
  • Lukas Spendlhofer 82' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Elias Havel 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Elias Havel 90'+7' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Manfred Schmid 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Tim Oermann 11'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 27'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 27'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 80'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 81'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 90'+3'
Austrian Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT PROfertil ARENA
  • Manfred Schmid 38' yellowcard
  • Fabian Wilfinger 44' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Markus 70' yellowcard
  • Furkan Demir 72' yellowcard
  • Donis Avdijaj 85' yellowcard
  • Chris Marco Hoffmann 90'+2' goal
  • goal Tochi Chukwuani 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 37'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 47'
  • goal Erencan Yardimci 57'
  • yellowcard Erencan Yardimci 59'
  • yellowcard Seedy Jatta 68'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Dimitri Lavalee 34' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 78' yellowcard
  • Lovro Zvonarek 83' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 86' goal
  • yellowcard Markus Schopp 0'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Heil 74'
  • yellowcard Fabian Wilfinger 90'+4'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 8
May 5, 2024 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 9' redcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 27' yellowcard
  • Seedy Jatta 57' yellowcard
  • Otar Kiteishvili 58' goal
  • Mika Biereth 62' yellowcard
  • Seedy Jatta 65' yellowcard
  • goal Maximilian Entrup 17'
  • yellowcard Tobias Kainz 33'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Entrup 56'