Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-0 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).