May 3, 2026 4.00pm

Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

L
W
W
L
W
W

Austrian Bundesliga

L
W
W
L
W
D

Last game

Apr 26, 2026 1.30pm

Rapid Vienna 1 - 0 Salzburg

Goals scored

53

Top scorer

Karim Konaté

Sturm Graz

All competitions

D
D
D
D
W
D

Austrian Bundesliga

D
D
D
D
W
D

Last game

Apr 26, 2026 4.00pm

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Vienna

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 28.39% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.05%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 48.78% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 22.8%

Sturm Graz 28.39% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

63.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 17.08% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 62.36%

Under 2.5 37.64%

Over 3.5 39.97%

Under 3.5 60.03%

Over 4.5 24.67%

Under 4.5 75.33%

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 38.95%

Draw 36.82%

Sturm Graz 24.22%

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 59.25%

No Goal 4.09%

Sturm Graz 36.66%

Corners

Over 8 60.98%

Equal 8 11.91%

Under 8 27.11%

Over 9 48.46%

Equal 9 12.52%

Under 9 39.02%

Over 10.5 36.54%

Under 10.5 63.46%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 52.57% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 47.43% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 2.5 26.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 73.33% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 10.92%

Under 3.5 89.08%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 66.48%

Under 0.5 33.52%

Over 1.5 35.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 64.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 14.61% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 85.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 94.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 48.77%

Draw 22.8%

Sturm Graz 28.39%

Red Bull Salzburg

2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 48.77%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.05%

2-2 @ 6.53%

0-0 @ 4.09%

3-3 @ 1.84%

Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 22.8%

Sturm Graz

1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.63%

1-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 2.89%

0-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 28.39%

Head to Head

Mar 20, 2026 6.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Merkur Arena

Emanuel Aiwu 39'
Jon Gorenc Stankovic 45'+5'
Maurice Malone 70'
Filip Rózga 70'
Axel Kayombo 87'
Luca Weinhandl 87'

Yorbe Vertessen 32'
Sota Kitano 75'
Damir Redzic 75'
Moussa Yeo 83'
Karim Onisiwo 85'

Nov 9, 2025 4.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Sep 20, 2025 4.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 9, 2025 6.30pm

4

2

HT : 2 1

FT Merkur Arena

Aleksa Terzic 18'
William Boving 20'
Gregory Wuthrich 48'
Tochi Chukwuani 72'

Nene Dorgeles 45'
Emanuel Aiwu 59' (OG)
Kouakou Joane Gadou 68'

Apr 13, 2025 1.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 6'
Adam Daghim 32'

Otar Kiteishvili 48'
Emanuel Aiwu 54'
Gregory Wuthrich 63'
Otar Kiteishvili 70'
Malick Junior Yalcouye 71'

Mar 2, 2025 4.00pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT Red Bull Arena

Yorbe Vertessen 72'
Nene Dorgeles 84'
Karim Onisiwo 87'

Jon Gorenc Stankovic 10'
Dimitri Lavalee 39'
Emanuel Aiwu 45'
Otar Kiteishvili 53'

Form Data

Rapid Vienna 1 - 0 Salzburg

Salzburg 3 - 1 Austria Vienna

Austria Vienna 1 - 3 Salzburg

Salzburg 2 - 3 LASK

Hartberg 1 - 2 Salzburg

Salzburg 1 - 0 Greuther Furth

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Vienna

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 LASK

LASK 1 - 1 Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Hartberg

Rapid Vienna 0 - 2 Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 First Vienna