Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.