Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.