Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Radomlje had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Radomlje win was 1-0 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.