Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 10
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.00pm
Hartberg 2 - 4 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.00pm
Rapid Vienna 0 - 2 Austria Vienna
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Bendegúz Bolla

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Rapid Vienna has a probability of 32.31% and a draw has a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win is 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.55%).

Result

Sturm Graz 39.51% (+0.04)
Draw 28.18%
Rapid Vienna 32.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.14% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.86% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 45.24%
Under 2.5 54.72% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.84%
Under 3.5 76.16%
Over 4.5 12.38% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.62% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 28.96%
Draw 44.2%
Rapid Vienna 26.83%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 46.88% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.72% (+0.01)
Rapid Vienna 44.4%

Corners

Over 8 55.92%
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 31.76%
Over 9 43.52%
Equal 9 12.4%
Under 9 44.08%
Over 10.5 32.17%
Under 10.5 67.83%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 36.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.09%
Under 2.5 85.91%
Over 3.5 4.09%
Under 3.5 95.91%

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5 66.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.67% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.34% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.66% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.26% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.74% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 39.5%
Draw 28.2%
Rapid Vienna 32.3%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 10.9% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 39.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.55%
0-0 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 28.2%
Rapid Vienna
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 2.93% (-0.01)
Total : 32.3%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2026 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Petter Nosa Dahl 57' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 71' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Demir 71' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Vallci 13'
  • goal Seedy Jatta 52'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 59'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 73'
  • yellowcard Maurice Malone 73'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 73'
  • yellowcard Stefan Hierländer 81'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Bendeguz Bolla 20' goal
  • Guido Burgstaller 41' goal
  • Bendeguz Bolla 78' goal
  • goal Leon Grgic 66'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Apr 4, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • William Boving 18' goal
  • Max Johnston 34' yellowcard
  • Tomi Horvat 51' yellowcard
  • Leon Grgic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nenad Cvetkovic 63'
  • yellowcard Dion Beljo 68'
  • yellowcard Jakob Maximilian Scholler 84'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emanuel Aiwu 79' yellowcard
  • Erencan Yardimci 82' goal
  • Noah Bischof 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Tochi Chukwuani 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Mamadou Sangare 39'
  • goal Dion Beljo 90'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 90'+3'