Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.