Club Friendlies 3
Jan 18, 2026 1.15am
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for FC Tokyo has a probability of 31.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win is 1-0 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.99%).

Result

FC Tokyo 31.51%
Draw 25.14%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

53%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.29%
Under 1.5 25.71%
Over 2.5 50.29%
Under 2.5 49.71%
Over 3.5 27.43%
Under 3.5 72.57%
Over 4.5 15.13%
Under 4.5 84.87%

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 25.51%
Draw 41.73%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32.77%

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 40.09%
No Goal 6.97%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52.94%

Corners

Over 8 52.7%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 35.36%
Over 9 41.01%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 47.3%
Over 10.5 30.5%
Under 10.5 69.5%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 32.23%
Under 1.5 67.77%
Over 2.5 11.55%
Under 2.5 88.45%
Over 3.5 3.33%
Under 3.5 96.67%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 74.11%
Under 0.5 25.89%
Over 1.5 41.26%
Under 1.5 58.74%
Over 2.5 17.57%
Under 2.5 82.43%
Over 3.5 5.84%
Under 3.5 94.16%

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 31.5%
Draw 25.14%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.35%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 31.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.14%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 6.96%
1-3 @ 4.13%
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.9%
Other @ 5.83%
Total : 43.35%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 17, 2025 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 18
May 25, 2025 7.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Kei Koizumi 85' yellowcard
  • Kei Koizumi 85' yellowcard
  • goal Hayato Araki 8'
  • goal Hayato Araki 8'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Shiotani 23'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Shiotani 23'
  • goal Hayato Araki 49'
  • goal Hayato Araki 49'
  • goal Ryo Germain 59'
  • goal Ryo Germain 59'
  • goal Hayao Kawabe 88'
  • goal Hayao Kawabe 88'
J1 League Gameweek 29
Aug 31, 2024 10.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Tolgay Arslan 5' goal
  • Hayao Kawabe 29' yellowcard
  • Tolgay Arslan 32' goal
  • Tolgay Arslan 63' goal
  • Douglas Vieira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 79'
  • goal Shuto Nakano 90'+1' (OG)
J1 League Gameweek 2
Mar 2, 2024 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Keita Endo 18' yellowcard
  • Keita Endo 18' yellowcard
  • Ryotaro Araki 71' goal
  • Ryotaro Araki 71' goal
  • goal Yuki Ohashi 69'
  • goal Yuki Ohashi 69'
  • yellowcard Hayato Araki 87'
  • yellowcard Hayato Araki 87'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 28, 2023 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Henrique Trevisan 37' yellowcard
  • Kei Koizumi 57' yellowcard
  • Hayato Araki 62' goal
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Shunki Higashi 42'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 48'
  • yellowcard Douglas Vieira 58'
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 75'
  • yellowcard Nassim Ben Khalifa 90'
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 22, 2023 6.00am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT EDION Stadium
  • Tsukasa Morishima 38' goal
  • goal Hotaka Nakamura 5'
  • goal Shuto Abe 28'