Champions League
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 35.77% and a draw has a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Hearts win is 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result

Sturm Graz 39.6% (+0.04)
Draw 24.63%
Hearts 35.77% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.69% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.31% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.4%
Under 2.5 46.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.08%
Under 3.5 68.92%
Over 4.5 18.1% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.9% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 28.35% (+0.02)
Draw 40.01% (+0.01)
Hearts 31.64% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 44.94%
No Goal 6.43%
Hearts 48.63%

Corners

Over 8 61.48% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 27.8% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.24% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 38.52% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 39.4% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 60.6% (-0.02)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 40.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.34%
Under 2.5 82.66%
Over 3.5 6.1% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.9% (-0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.21% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.69%
Under 2.5 84.31%
Over 3.5 5.62%
Under 3.5 94.38%

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 39.6%
Draw 24.62%
Hearts 35.78%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.94% (+0.02)
Total : 39.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.62%
Hearts
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.46%
Total : 35.78%