Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 13, 2026 8.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
Motherwell 1 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 1 - 3 Hibernian
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw has a probability of 23.05% and a win for Falkirk has a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Falkirk win it is 0-1 (5.7%).

Result

Hearts 55.39% (-0.12)
Draw 23.05% (+0.02)
Falkirk 21.56% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.88% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 22.12% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 54.7% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 45.3% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 32.58% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.42% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 19.21% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.79% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Hearts 34.98% (+0.02)
Draw 44.43% (-0.04)
Falkirk 20.59% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Hearts 56.75% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.76% (-0.01)
Falkirk 37.49% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.48% (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.74% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.78% (+0.11)
Over 9 52.93% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.55% (-0.02)
Under 9 35.52% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 41.57% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 58.43% (+0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 52.89%
Under 1.5 47.11%
Over 2.5 26.48%
Under 2.5 73.52%
Over 3.5 10.92% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.08% (-0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 58.44% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 41.56% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 25.34% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 74.66% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 8.38% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.62% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.22% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.78% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hearts 55.39%
Draw 23.05%
Falkirk 21.56%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 10.27%
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.82% (+0.01)
Total : 55.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 23.05%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.12% (+0.04)
Total : 21.56%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Islam Chesnokov 45' goal
  • Jordi Altena 81' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 82' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 46'
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 73'
  • yellowcard Connor Allan 73'
  • yellowcard E. Williams 73'
  • yellowcard Henry Cartwright 73'
Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
ET Tynecastle Park
  • Blair Spittal 58' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 69' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 69' yellowcard
  • Islam Chesnokov 77' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 86' yellowcard
  • Elton Kabangu 96' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 105'+1' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 106' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Parkinson 46'
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 46'
  • yellowcard Kyrell Wilson 46'
  • goal Ben Parkinson 59'
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 86'
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 87'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 97'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 119'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 120'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Filip Lissah 39' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 85' yellowcard
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 2'
  • yellowcard Tómas Bent Magnússon 28'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 41'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 77'
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT