Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 4, 2026 5.30pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.30pm
Hibernian 1 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
Rangers 2 - 3 Motherwell
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Youssef Chermiti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Rangers has a probability of 33.97% and a draw has a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Rangers win is 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Hearts 41.56%
Draw 24.51%
Rangers 33.97% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.74% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.24% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 20.76% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.74% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 43.26% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 33.04% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.96% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.92% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 81.08% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Hearts 32.7% (-0.01)
Draw 40.93% (-0.01)
Rangers 26.36%

Team To Score First

Hearts 52% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.38% (-0.01)
Rangers 42.62%

Corners

Over 8 66.91%
Equal 8 10.75%
Under 8 22.34%
Over 9 55.06%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 33.09%
Over 10.5 43.17%
Under 10.5 56.83%

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 43.39% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.61% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 19.42% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 80.58% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.85% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.15% (-0.04)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 69.92% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.08% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 62.48% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 15.46% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.08% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.92% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hearts 41.57%
Draw 24.52%
Rangers 33.96%
Hearts
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.67% (+0.02)
Total : 41.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.18% (+0.01)
Total : 24.52%
Rangers
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.9% (+0.03)
Total : 33.96%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 15, 2026 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 3
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Michael Steinwender 19' goal
  • Youssef Chermiti 39' goal
  • Youssef Chermiti 57' goal
  • James Tavernier 58' yellowcard
  • Oliver Antman 80' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Diomande 80' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Diomandé 80' yellowcard
  • Djeidi Gassama 88' yellowcard
  • 88' yellowcard
  • Youssef Chermiti 90' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Steinwender 12'
  • goal Marc Leonard 16'
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 30'
  • goal Cláudio Braga 30'
  • yellowcard Jordi Altena 46'
  • yellowcard Pierre Landry Kabore 46'
  • yellowcard Tómas Bent Magnússon 74'
  • yellowcard Rogers Mato 87'
  • yellowcard 88'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 21, 2025 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stuart Findlay 38' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 42' goal
  • Oisin McEntee 61' yellowcard
  • Beni Baningime 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikey Moore 90'+4'
  • goal Youssef Chermiti 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Michael Steinwender 49' goal
  • Beni Baningime 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 17'
  • goal Jamie McCart 20' (OG)
  • goal Vaclav Cerny 61'
  • goal Jamie McCart 73' (OG)