Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.67% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.