Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 2.00pm
Livingston 2 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 2 - 3 Falkirk
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw has a probability of 24.67% and a win for Motherwell has a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.24%) and 2-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Motherwell win it is 0-1 (6.99%).

Result

Hearts 53.77% (+0.24)
Draw 24.67% (+0.08)
Motherwell 21.56% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.06% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.57% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 27.43% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 47.27% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 52.69% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 25.13% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 74.87% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 13.82% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 86.18% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Hearts 38.3%
Draw 40.71%
Motherwell 20.99%

Team To Score First

Hearts 57.99% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.56% (+0.12)
Motherwell 34.45% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.55% (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.77% (+0.11)
Under 8 31.68% (+0.40)
Over 9 44.67% (-0.56)
Equal 9 11.88% (+0.07)
Under 9 43.45% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 33.67% (-0.58)
Under 10.5 66.33% (+0.58)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 47.36% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 52.64% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 21.39% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 78.61% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 7.65% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 92.35% (+0.19)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 56.69% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 43.31% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 22.26% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 77.74% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 6.34% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 93.66% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 1.54% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 98.46% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Hearts 53.77%
Draw 24.69%
Motherwell 21.55%
Hearts
1-0 @ 12.89% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 10.24% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.94% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.29% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.08)
Other @ 7.64% (-0.19)
Total : 53.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.56% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 24.69%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 6.99% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.53% (-0.15)
Total : 21.55%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manny Longelo 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Welsh 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 23'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Kiziridis 28'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 81'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 87'
  • yellowcard Christian Borchgrevink 90'
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 48' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 60' goal
  • Alan Forrest 62' goal
  • Craig Halkett 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lennon Miller 54'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • yellowcard Sander Kartum 23'
  • yellowcard Sander Kartum 23'
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 35'
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 35'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 66'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 66'