Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.92% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.