Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
St Mirren 0 - 5 Motherwell
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Zac Sapsford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw has a probability of 22.92% and a win for Dundee United has a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Dundee United win it is 0-1 (5.96%).

Result

Motherwell 59.7% (+0.03)
Draw 22.92%
Dundee United 17.38% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.77% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.42% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.58% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.37% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.6% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.25% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.53%
Under 4.5 83.47%

First Half Winner

Motherwell 44.01%
Draw 38.4%
Dundee United 17.59%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 65.58% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.28% (+0.03)
Dundee United 27.14% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.68% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.7% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.83%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 42.32% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.78%
Under 10.5 65.22%

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 52.59% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.41% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.47% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 73.53% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.78% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.22% (-0.02)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 51.38% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 48.62% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 19.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.21% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.79% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Motherwell 59.69%
Draw 22.92%
Dundee United 17.38%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 13.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.81% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 10.65% (+0.01)
Total : 59.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.92%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Total : 17.38%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luca Stephenson 46' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 67' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Vicko Sevelj 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 34'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 75'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 85'
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Sam Dalby 31' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 43'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT Fir Park
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 1' goal
  • Andy Halliday 33' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 40' goal
  • Liam Gordon 45' yellowcard
  • Tom Sparrow 67' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Babunski 3'
  • goal Sam Dalby 7'
  • yellowcard Vicko Sevelj 45'
  • yellowcard Declan Gallagher 48'
  • goal Sam Dalby 54'
  • goal Louis Moult 87'