Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Tannadice Park

Dundee United vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 2 - 3 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Zac Sapsford

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Celtic
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundee United win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw has a probability of 24.21% and a win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result

Dundee United 51.8% (-0.09)
Draw 24.21%
Kilmarnock 23.99% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.23% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.11% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 25.89% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 49.64% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.21% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 72.79% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.31% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.69% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Dundee United 40.63%
Draw 38.22%
Kilmarnock 21.15%

Team To Score First

Dundee United 59.75% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.02)
Kilmarnock 33.42% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.21% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.6% (+0.01)
Under 8 23.2% (-0.02)
Over 9 54.63% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 33.79% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 43.08% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 56.92% (-0.01)

Dundee United Goals

Over 1.5 47.06%
Under 1.5 52.94%
Over 2.5 22.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.04%
Under 3.5 91.96%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 58.92% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 41.08% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.46% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 74.54% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 7.66% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.34% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.95% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.05% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Dundee United 51.8%
Draw 24.21%
Kilmarnock 23.99%
Dundee United
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.02%
Total : 51.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.21%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93% (+0.04)
Total : 23.99%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruce Anderson 34' goal
  • Robbie Deas 66' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 77' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Watters 29'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 63'
  • yellowcard Nikolaj Moller 65'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 68' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 72' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Adegboyega 50'
  • yellowcard Will Ferry 77'