Scottish Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Ryan Strain 37' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 41' yellowcard
  • Zachary Sapsford 72' yellowcard
  • Amar Fatah 74' goal
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 46'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 58'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 79'
  • goal Marley Watkins 90'+1'

Dundee United vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 2 - 3 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zac Sapsford

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 3 Celtic
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Dundee United 51.78% (+0.03)
Draw 24.28% (+0.08)
Kilmarnock 23.94% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.18% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.02% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.98% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.54% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.46% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 27.26% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 72.74% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 15.34% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.66% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Dundee United 40.63%
Draw 38.22%
Kilmarnock 21.15%

Team To Score First

Dundee United 59.72% (-0.06)
No Goal 6.85% (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 33.43% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.21% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.6% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.19% (+0.05)
Over 9 54.63% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.58% (-0.02)
Under 9 33.79% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 43.08%
Under 10.5 56.92%

Dundee United Goals

Over 1.5 47.04% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.96% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.23%
Under 2.5 77.77%
Over 3.5 8.02% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.98% (+0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 58.93% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 41.07% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.44% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.56% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.67% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.33% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.95% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.05% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Dundee United 51.79%
Draw 24.27%
Kilmarnock 23.93%
Dundee United
1-0 @ 11.93% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.99% (-0.07)
Total : 51.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 24.27%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.92% (-0.04)
Total : 23.93%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruce Anderson 34' goal
  • Robbie Deas 66' yellowcard
  • David Watson 68' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 77' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Watters 29'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 63'
  • yellowcard Nikolaj Moller 65'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 68' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 72' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Adegboyega 50'
  • yellowcard Will Ferry 77'