Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.