Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 4 - 3 St Mirren
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celtic win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 25.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 2-1 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.34%).

Result

Kilmarnock 25.05% (+0.09)
Draw 23.06% (-0.06)
Celtic 51.88% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.42% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 59.8% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 40.17% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 39.18% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 60.82% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.77% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 76.23% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 20.32% (-0.11)
Draw 37.39% (+0.12)
Celtic 42.3% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 33.45% (+0.16)
No Goal 4.45%
Celtic 62.1% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 59.11% (+0.41)
Equal 8 11.16% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.74% (-0.38)
Over 9 47.63% (+0.42)
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 40.89% (-0.41)
Over 10.5 36.77% (+0.39)
Under 10.5 63.23% (-0.39)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 31.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.83% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.25% (+0.02)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 81.56% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.44% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 54.49% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 45.51% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 28.13% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 71.87% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 12.24% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 87.76% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 25.05%
Draw 23.06%
Celtic 51.87%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 5.77% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.58% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.58% (+0.02)
Total : 25.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.02)
Total : 23.06%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.25%
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.07% (-0.02)
Total : 51.87%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 14, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Reo Hatate 9' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 11' goal
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 21' goal
  • Reo Hatate 24' goal
  • Anthony Ralston 90'+3' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 29'
Scottish Cup
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Callum McGregor 12' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 71' goal
  • goal Bobby Wales 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 59'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+1'