Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
Celtic
  • Tyreece John-Jules 21' goal
  • Joe Hugill 28' goal
  • Aaron Tshibola 63' yellowcard
  • David Watson 67' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Polworth 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 79' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 46'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cvancara 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 46'
  • goal Sebastian Tounekti 56'
  • yellowcard James Forrest 62'
  • goal Benjamin Nygren 64'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cvancara 69'
  • yellowcard Callum McGregor 74'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 78'
  • goal Julián Araujo 90'+7'
  • goal Julián Araujo  90'+7'
  • yellowcard Julián Araujo  90'+8'

Kilmarnock vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 4 - 3 St Mirren
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 25.09% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 23.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Celtic 51.79% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.38% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 18.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 59.46% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 40.54% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 38.68% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 61.32% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 23.41% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 4.5 76.59% ▲ (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 20.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 37.38%
Celtic 42.5% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 32.82% ▼ (-0.61)
No Goal 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Celtic 62.66% ▲ (+0.57)

Corners

Over 8 58.88% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.9% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 47.35% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.12% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 36.47% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 63.54% ▲ (+0.23)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 31.45% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 68.55% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 2.5 11.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 88.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.28% ▲ (+0.05)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 81.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 18.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 54.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 45.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 27.79% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 72.21% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 12.06% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 87.94% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 25.1%
Draw 23.11%
Celtic 51.79%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 5.84%
1-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.11%
Celtic
1-2 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 51.79%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Celtic
Nov 9, 2025 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Johnny Kenny 10' goal
  • Kieran Tierney 51' goal
  • Callum McGregor 71' yellowcard
  • Daizen Maeda 77' yellowcard
  • Daizen Maeda 85' goal
  • Arne Engels 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Brad Lyons  63'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 80'
Scottish Premiership
Celtic
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
Sep 14, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
Celtic
  • David Watson 83' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 90'+5' yellowcard
  • David Watson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 39'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Nygren 55'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 56'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Kelechi Iheanacho 90'+7'
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Celtic
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Celtic
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Reo Hatate 9' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 11' goal
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 21' goal
  • Reo Hatate 24' goal
  • Anthony Ralston 90'+3' goal
  • goal Danny Armstrong 29'
Scottish Cup
Celtic
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Callum McGregor 12' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 71' goal
  • goal Bobby Wales 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 59'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+1'

Form Data

Kilmarnock 4 - 3 St Mirren
Rangers 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Aberdeen
Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Dundee
Livingston 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston
Celtic 2 - 1 Dundee
Celtic 2 - 0 Falkirk
Celtic 4 - 2 Utrecht
Hearts 2 - 2 Celtic
Bologna 2 - 2 Celtic