Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.