Scottish Premiership
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 12' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 14' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 58' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 59' goal
  • Findlay Curtis 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Hugill 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 79' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 35'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 46'
  • yellowcard Leighton Clarkson 56'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 66'
  • yellowcard Kjartan Már Kjartansson 66'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 66'

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 6 - 2 Livingston
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 42.26% (+0.30)
Draw 24.92% (+0.07)
Aberdeen 32.81% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.54% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 26.46% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 50.17% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 49.83% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 28.79% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 71.21% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 16.36% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 83.64% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 32.79%
Draw 43.51%
Aberdeen 23.7%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 52.6% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.96% (+0.06)
Aberdeen 40.44% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.08%
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 29.23%
Over 9 47.02%
Equal 9 12.06%
Under 9 40.92%
Over 10.5 35.67%
Under 10.5 64.33%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 40.4% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 59.6% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 17.17% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.83% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.83% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.17% (-0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 66.46% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 33.54% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 33.09% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 66.91% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 12.73% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 87.27% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 4.33% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.67% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 42.27%
Draw 24.92%
Aberdeen 32.82%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.53% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.94% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.08% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.8% (+0.02)
Total : 42.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.96% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.92%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.3% (-0.21)
Total : 32.82%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 14, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Lazetic 75' yellowcard
  • Kenan Bilalovic 79' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 85' goal
  • Adil Aouchiche 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tyreece John-Jules 17'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 51'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 57'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard James Brown 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Ante Palaversa 34' yellowcard
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 37' yellowcard
  • Oday Dabbagh 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Bobby Wales 18'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 45'
  • yellowcard Fraser Murray 52'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 18' goal
  • David Watson 59' goal
  • Innes Cameron 87' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 62'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 63'
  • yellowcard J 67'