Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 6 - 2 Livingston
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Marko Lazetic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Aberdeen has a probability of 33.22% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Aberdeen win is 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.58%).

Result

Kilmarnock 41.89%
Draw 24.89%
Aberdeen 33.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.66%
Under 1.5 26.34%
Over 2.5 50.31%
Under 2.5 49.69%
Over 3.5 28.92%
Under 3.5 71.08% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.51% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.49% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 32.69%
Draw 43.68%
Aberdeen 23.62%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 52.64%
No Goal 6.93%
Aberdeen 40.43%

Corners

Over 8 59.4%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 28.9%
Over 9 47.29%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 40.6%
Over 10.5 35.87%
Under 10.5 64.13%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 40.14% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.86% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.74% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.26% (-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 66.75% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.25% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.54% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.46% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 13.09% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.5%
Under 3.5 95.5%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 41.89%
Draw 24.89%
Aberdeen 33.22%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 5.71% (+0.01)
Total : 41.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.89%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 14, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Lazetic 75' yellowcard
  • Kenan Bilalovic 79' goal
  • Jesper Karlsson 85' goal
  • Adil Aouchiche 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tyreece John-Jules 17'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 51'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 57'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard James Brown 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Ante Palaversa 34' yellowcard
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 37' yellowcard
  • Oday Dabbagh 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Bobby Wales 18'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 45'
  • yellowcard Fraser Murray 52'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 18' goal
  • David Watson 59' goal
  • Innes Cameron 87' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 62'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 63'
  • yellowcard J 67'