Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.