Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Dundee

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw has a probability of 25.64% and a win for Dundee has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Dundee win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result

Kilmarnock 49.01% (+0.06)
Draw 25.64% (-0.02)
Dundee 25.34% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.82% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 30.18% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 44.6% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.4% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.09% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.91% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.27% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.73% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 36.72% (-0.15)
Draw 40.89% (+0.08)
Dundee 22.39% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 53.93% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.53% (-0.01)
Dundee 37.54% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.99% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 37.41% (-0.03)
Over 9 39.77% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 49.01% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.77% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 70.23% (-0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 42.06% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.94% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.97% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.34% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.66% (-0.02)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 58.62% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 41.38% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 24.62% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.38% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.48% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.8% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 49.01%
Draw 25.65%
Dundee 25.35%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.31% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.33% (+0.01)
Total : 49.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.65%
Dundee
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Total : 25.35%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlie Reilly 48' yellowcard
  • Yan Dhanda 53' yellowcard
  • Ashley Hay 57' goal
  • Charlie Reilly 72' goal
  • goal Greg Kiltie 38'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 53'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 54'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 69'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Danny Armstrong 31' goal
  • Liam Donnelly 47' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 77' goal
  • Robbie Deas 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 30'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Larkeche 56'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 76'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Fraser Murray 61' yellowcard
  • Bobby Wales 80' goal
  • Robbie Deas 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 9'
  • yellowcard Billy Koumetio 38'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 71'