Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.71% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.09%).