Scottish Premiership
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Fir Park
  • Elijah Just 29' goal
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 45'+1' goal
  • Ibrahim Said 56' goal
  • Eythor Bjørgolfsson 60' yellowcard
  • John Koutroumbis 60' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 71' yellowcard
  • Lukas Fadinger 82' goal
  • Rocco McColm 83' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Schjönning-Larsen 46'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 61'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 61'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 67'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 90'

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 0 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.71% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.09%).

Result

Motherwell 61.34% (-0.02)
Draw 22.71% (+0.04)
Kilmarnock 15.95% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.27% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.51% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.01% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.96% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.04% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.24% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.76% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 41.35% (+0.07)
Draw 40.13% (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 18.52% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 61.76% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.73% (+0.05)
Kilmarnock 30.51% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.37% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 26.57% (+0.08)
Over 9 50.68% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 37.63% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 39.38% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 60.62% (+0.06)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 51.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.49% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 25.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.96% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.94% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.06% (+0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 48.15% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 51.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 83.92% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 3.74% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 96.26% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 0.79% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.21% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Motherwell 61.34%
Draw 22.71%
Kilmarnock 15.94%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 14.68% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 12.27% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 7.23% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.93% (-0.02)
Total : 61.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.71%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.09% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.78% (-0.02)
Total : 15.94%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Luke Armstrong 77' goal
  • Callum Slattery 83' goal
  • Luke Armstrong 86' goal
  • redcard Robbie Deas 29'
  • yellowcard David Watson 80'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Bradley Lyons 16' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 16' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 16' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 22' goal
  • Fraser Murray 22' goal
  • Fraser Murray 22' goal
  • Joe Wright 53' goal
  • Joe Wright 53' goal
  • Bobby Wales 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 12'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 12'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 12'
  • redcard Kofi Balmer 26'
  • redcard Kofi Balmer 26'
  • redcard Kofi Balmer 26'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 71'