Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
Rangers 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 33.72% and a draw has a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 1-0 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).

Result

Kilmarnock 33.72% (-0.17)
Draw 26.42% (-0.03)
St Mirren 39.83% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.51% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.33% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 26.67% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 48.06% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 51.94% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.58% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 73.42% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 14.12% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 85.88% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 24.14% (+0.04)
Draw 43.68% (-0.08)
St Mirren 32.18% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 40.37% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.28% (-0.05)
St Mirren 52.35% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 59.9%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 28.23%
Over 9 47.56%
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 40.1%
Over 10.5 35.89%
Under 10.5 64.11%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 33.07% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 66.93% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.36%
Under 2.5 87.64%
Over 3.5 3.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.34% (-0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 71.81% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 28.19% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 38.38% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 61.62% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 15.5% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 84.5% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 33.73%
Draw 26.42%
St Mirren 39.82%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.62% (+0.02)
Total : 33.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.33%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.42%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.89% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.98% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.91% (+0.09)
Total : 39.82%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roland Idowu 27' yellowcard
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 6' goal
  • Roland Idowu 9' goal
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 58' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 65' goal
  • Declan John 69' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 64'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 70'
  • goal Bruce Anderson 88'