Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.76% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%) , while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.