Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.