Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 15, 2026 2.30pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Motherwell 1 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Elliot Watt

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Marko Lazetic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw has a probability of 22.31% and a win for Aberdeen has a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.78%) , while for a Aberdeen win it is 0-1 (5.86%).

Result

Motherwell 60.91% (+0.38)
Draw 22.31% (-0.20)
Aberdeen 16.78% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.75% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.63% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.37% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.14% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.86% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.97% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 73.03% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.94% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 84.06% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 41.6% (-0.12)
Draw 41.07% (-0.04)
Aberdeen 17.33% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 64.5% (+0.21)
No Goal 7.06% (-0.07)
Aberdeen 28.44% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 57.17% (+0.93)
Equal 8 11.94% (-0.17)
Under 8 30.9% (-0.75)
Over 9 45.05% (+1.03)
Equal 9 12.12% (-0.10)
Under 9 42.83% (-0.93)
Over 10.5 33.81% (+1.03)
Under 10.5 66.19% (-1.02)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 53.12% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 46.88% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 26.69% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 73.31% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 10.55% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 89.45% (-0.15)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 50.29% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 49.71% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 18.08% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 81.92% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 4.7% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 95.3% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.01% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.99% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Motherwell 60.9%
Draw 22.32%
Aberdeen 16.77%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 13.44% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.46% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.2% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.73% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 10.54% (+0.16)
Total : 60.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 22.32%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1% (-0.03)
Total : 16.77%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Alfie Dorrington 13' goal
  • Habib Gueye 29' yellowcard
  • Leighton Clarkson 37' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 77' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 90'+2' goal
  • goal Callum Slattery 5'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 68'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 81'