Scottish Premiership
Feb 15, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Elijah Just 28' goal
  • Regan Charles-Cook 66' yellowcard
  • Eythor Bjørgolfsson 66' yellowcard
  • Sam Nicholson 81' yellowcard
  • Stephen O'Donnell 81' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 90' yellowcard
  • Tom McIntyre 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 46'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 62'
  • yellowcard Kenan Bilalovic 71'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 71'
  • yellowcard Kjartan Már Kjartansson 79'

Motherwell vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Motherwell 1 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.62% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 62.5% (+0.07)
Draw 21.62% (-0.04)
Aberdeen 15.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.93% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.36% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.59% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 49.41% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 27.93% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.07% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 16.95% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.05% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 42.53% (-0.08)
Draw 40.3% (+0.15)
Aberdeen 17.17% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 65.23% (-0.18)
No Goal 6.66% (-0.06)
Aberdeen 28.11% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 59.01% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.8% (-0.05)
Under 8 29.19% (-0.03)
Over 9 46.85% (+0.15)
Equal 9 12.16% (-0.07)
Under 9 40.99% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 35.41% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 64.59% (-0.18)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 54.88% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 45.12% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 28.38% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 71.62% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 11.49% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 88.51% (-0.09)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 49.51% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 50.49% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 17.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 82.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.54% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.46% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 1.01% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.99% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Motherwell 62.5%
Draw 21.62%
Aberdeen 15.89%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.05% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.73% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.46% (+0.08)
Total : 62.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 21.62%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 15.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Alfie Dorrington 13' goal
  • Habib Gueye 29' yellowcard
  • Leighton Clarkson 37' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 77' goal
  • Kevin Nisbet 90'+2' goal
  • goal Callum Slattery 5'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 68'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 81'