Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.62% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.