Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 11, 2026 8.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee 0 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Elliot Watt

Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
Rangers 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Bojan Miovski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Rangers has a probability of 28.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Rangers win is 1-2 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.29%).

Result

Motherwell 48.68% (-0.05)
Draw 23.22% (+0.17)
Rangers 28.09% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.22% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 21.78% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 54.85% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 45.15% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 32.25% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 67.75% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 18.93% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 81.07% (+0.60)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 36.26% (+0.04)
Draw 40.3% (-0.02)
Rangers 23.43% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 55.11% (-0.11)
No Goal 5.36% (+0.21)
Rangers 39.53% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 58.35%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 30.47%
Over 9 46.91%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 41.65%
Over 10.5 36.15%
Under 10.5 63.85%

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 47.71% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 52.29% (+0.51)
Over 2.5 22.26% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 77.74% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 8.86% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 91.14% (+0.22)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 64.08% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 35.92% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 31.24% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 68.76% (+0.57)
Over 2.5 11.39% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 88.61% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 3.57% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.43% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Motherwell 48.68%
Draw 23.21%
Rangers 28.09%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 9.97% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.72% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.09)
Other @ 8.83% (-0.20)
Total : 48.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.36% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 23.21%
Rangers
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.57% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.38% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54% (-0.17)
Total : 28.09%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thelo Aasgaard 67' goal
  • Connor Barron 78' yellowcard
  • Thelo Aasgaard 80' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul McGinn 86'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 2, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Jefte 49' yellowcard
  • Cyriel Dessers 54' goal
  • Nedim Bajrami 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Armstrong 9'
  • goal Tom Sparrow 30'
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Fir Park
  • Stuart Kettlewell 0' redcard
  • Stuart Kettlewell 15' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 16' goal
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 35' goal
  • Lennon Miller 53' yellowcard
  • Tom Sparrow 90' yellowcard
  • Tony Watt 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Sam Nicholson 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Propper 14'
  • goal Igmane Hamza 50'
  • goal Igmane Hamza 68'
  • yellowcard Dujon Sterling 87'
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 90'+9'