Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 2 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.30pm
Motherwell 0 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Elliot Watt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 34.04% and a draw has a probability of 28.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 0-1 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.15%).

Result

St Mirren 37.31% (+1.99)
Draw 28.59% (-0.61)
Motherwell 34.04% (-1.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.09% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.96% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 33.04% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 41.22% (+0.82)
Under 2.5 58.78% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 20.83% (+1.11)
Under 3.5 79.17% (-1.11)
Over 4.5 10.46% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 89.54% (-0.81)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 27.74% (+1.38)
Draw 46.86% (-0.26)
Motherwell 25.4% (-1.14)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 43.58% (+1.70)
No Goal 10.12% (-0.54)
Motherwell 46.3% (-1.18)

Corners

Over 8 57.98% (+1.58)
Equal 8 12.11% (-0.16)
Under 8 29.91% (-1.43)
Over 9 45.6% (+1.58)
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 42.02% (-1.58)
Over 10.5 34.08% (+1.43)
Under 10.5 65.92% (-1.43)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 32.33% (+2.16)
Under 1.5 67.67% (-2.16)
Over 2.5 11.51% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 88.49% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 3.38% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 96.62% (-0.59)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 65.28% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 34.72% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 30.28% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 69.72% (+0.91)
Over 2.5 10.69% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 89.31% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.14)

Score analysis

St Mirren 37.31%
Draw 28.57%
Motherwell 34.04%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.99% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.02% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.68% (+0.44)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.30)
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.18)
Other @ 3.26% (+0.57)
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.54)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.02)
Total : 28.57%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.54)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.81% (-0.17)
Total : 34.04%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Fir Park
  • Callum Slattery 35' goal
  • Callum Slattery 35' goal
  • Liam Gordon 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 61' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 71' goal
  • Andy Halliday 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Caolan Boyd-Munce 23'
  • goal Caolan Boyd-Munce 23'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 32'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 32'
  • goal Killian Phillips 33'
  • goal Killian Phillips 33'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 61'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 61'
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 62'
  • yellowcard Oisin Smyth 80'
  • redcard Toyosi Olusanya 84'