Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
St Mirren
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Motherwell
  • Mikael Mandron 46' yellowcard
  • K. Baccus 46' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 46' yellowcard
  • Jalmaro Calvin 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 78' yellowcard
  • goal Elijah Just 14'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 30'
  • goal Ibrahim Said 49'
  • goal Emmanuel Longelo 58'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 62'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 62'
  • goal Eythor Bjørgolfsson 66'
  • yellowcard Luca Ross 77'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 77'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Longelo 77'
  • yellowcard Regan Charles-Cook 77'

St Mirren vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 2 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.30pm
Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Tawanda Maswanhise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%).

Result

St Mirren 38.23% ▲ (+1.02)
Draw 28.34% ▼ (-0.29)
Motherwell 33.44% ▼ (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.09% ▲ (+1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.89% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 1.5 32.11% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 2.5 42.27% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 2.5 57.73% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 3.5 21.36% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 3.5 78.64% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 4.5 10.77% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 4.5 89.23% ▼ (-0.32)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 28.09% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 46.56% ▼ (-0.30)
Motherwell 25.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 44.28% ▲ (+0.92)
No Goal 9.77% ▼ (-0.38)
Motherwell 45.95% ▼ (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 58.39% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 8 12.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 29.47% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 9 45.92% ▲ (+0.31)
Equal 9 12.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 41.61% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 10.5 34.29% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 10.5 65.71% ▼ (-0.20)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 33.39% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 1.5 66.61% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 2.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▼ (-0.16)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 65.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 34.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 30.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.95%
Under 3.5 97.05%

Score analysis

St Mirren 38.23%
Draw 28.34%
Motherwell 33.43%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 38.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.34%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.59)
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Motherwell
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Motherwell
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
St Mirren
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 35' goal
  • Elliot Watt 57' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 73' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 73' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 89' yellowcard
  • Detlef Esapa Osong 89' yellowcard
  • Zander McAllister 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 46'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 66'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 67'
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 80'
Scottish League Cup
Motherwell
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
Motherwell
Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Motherwell
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Motherwell
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 4
FT Fir Park
St Mirren
  • Callum Slattery 35' goal
  • Callum Slattery 35' goal
  • Liam Gordon 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 61' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 71' goal
  • Andy Halliday 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Caolan Boyd-Munce 23'
  • goal Caolan Boyd-Munce 23'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 32'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 32'
  • goal Killian Phillips 33'
  • goal Killian Phillips 33'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 61'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 61'
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 62'
  • yellowcard Oisin Smyth 80'
  • redcard Toyosi Olusanya 84'

Form Data

Hibernian 2 - 0 St Mirren
Kilmarnock 4 - 3 St Mirren
Airdrieonians 1 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
St Mirren 0 - 0 Dundee
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
Aberdeen 2 - 0 Motherwell
Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Motherwell 1 - 1 Rangers
Livingston 0 - 2 Motherwell
Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock
Motherwell 1 - 0 Ross County