Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.