Scottish Premiership
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Owen Elding 42' goal
  • Ante Suto 64' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 64' yellowcard
  • Ante Suto 66' goal
  • Kai Andrews 77' yellowcard
  • Josh Campbell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 46'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 46'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 58'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 58'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 71'

Hibernian vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 8.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 4 - 3 St Mirren
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Hibernian 48.29% (+0.27)
Draw 24.93% (-0.06)
St Mirren 26.77% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.89% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.03% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 26.97% (-0.57)
Over 2.5 48.4% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 51.6% (-0.77)
Over 3.5 26.53% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 73.47% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 14.99% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 85.01% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Hibernian 33.09% (+0.58)
Draw 41.84% (-0.30)
St Mirren 25.07% (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Hibernian 48.54% (+0.50)
No Goal 7.53% (-0.18)
St Mirren 43.93% (-0.32)

Corners

Over 8 69.34% (+0.75)
Equal 8 9.84% (-0.05)
Under 8 20.83% (-0.71)
Over 9 58.32% (+0.72)
Equal 9 11.02% (+0.03)
Under 9 30.66% (-0.75)
Over 10.5 47.03% (+0.64)
Under 10.5 52.97% (-0.64)

Hibernian Goals

Over 1.5 43.95% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 56.05% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 19.22% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 80.78% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 6.56% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.44% (-0.10)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 60.54% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 39.46% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 27.63% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 72.37% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.75% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 90.25% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.85% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.15% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Hibernian 48.29%
Draw 24.93%
St Mirren 26.78%
Hibernian
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.55% (+0.09)
Total : 48.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.93%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 6.43% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.68% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.84% (+0.09)
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Declan John 36' yellowcard
  • Richard Taylor 45'+5' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 56' yellowcard
  • Conor McMenamin 64' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 78' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Boyle 3'
  • goal Mykola Kukharevych 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 23'
  • yellowcard Nectar Triantis 38'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 79'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Ryan Alebiousu 29' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 65' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 69' yellowcard
  • Jonah Ayunga 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nectar Triantis 39'
  • yellowcard Alasana Manneh 72'
  • redcard Alasana Manneh 84'
  • yellowcard Martin Boyle 90'+5'