Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 10, 2026 8.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Hibernian - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
Hibernian 3 - 2 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw has a probability of 24.23% and a win for Hibernian has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Hibernian win it is 0-1 (7.79%).

Result

Hearts 52.23% (+0.03)
Draw 24.23%
Hibernian 23.55% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.1% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27.9% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 47.04% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.96% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 25.59% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.41% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.14% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.86% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Hearts 36.31% (-0.04)
Draw 40.9% (+0.04)
Hibernian 22.79% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Hearts 55.89%
No Goal 7.6% (-0.04)
Hibernian 36.51% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.02% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 28.75% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.38% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.98% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.31% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.69% (+0.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 46.08% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.92% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.98% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.02% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.49% (-0.03)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 57.83% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 42.17% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 23.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.48% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.83% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.76%
Under 3.5 98.24%

Score analysis

Hearts 52.24%
Draw 24.24%
Hibernian 23.56%
Hearts
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.5% (+0.02)
Total : 52.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.24%
Hibernian
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 23.56%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jamie McGrath 3' goal
  • Josh Campbell 45' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 48' goal
  • Josh Mulligan 56' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 75'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 89'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Martin Boyle 6' goal
  • Martin Boyle 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 74' goal
  • goal Jorge Grant 9'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 45'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cameron Devlin 28' yellowcard
  • Rocky Bushiri 45'+2' goal
  • Craig Halkett 71' yellowcard
  • goal Kye Rowles 9' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rocky Bushiri 35'
  • goal Dwight Gayle 78'