Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Livingston win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.