Scottish Premiership
Apr 5, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Stevie May 5' goal
  • Lewis Smith 58' goal
  • Emmanuel Danso 65' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 65' yellowcard
  • Ryan McGowan 78' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 78' yellowcard
  • Samson Lawal 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 24'
  • goal Cláudio Braga 51'
  • yellowcard Sabah Kerjota 77'
  • yellowcard Jordi Altena 84'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 89'
  • yellowcard Blair Spittal 89'

Livingston vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Lewis Smith

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Dundee
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Livingston win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Livingston 20.08% (+0.07)
Draw 24.28% (+0.05)
Hearts 55.64% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.2% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.98% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.02% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.18% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.82% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 27.27% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 72.73% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 15.49% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.51% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Livingston 22.28%
Draw 39.09%
Hearts 38.63%

Team To Score First

Livingston 32.59% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.64% (+0.05)
Hearts 59.77% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.94% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 27.08% (-0.10)
Over 9 50.37% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 38.06% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 39.2% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 60.8% (-0.08)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 21.44% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.56% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 6.21% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.79% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.55%
Under 3.5 98.45%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 80.35% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 19.65% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 49.81% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 50.19% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 23.66% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 76.34% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 9.12% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 90.88% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Livingston 20.07%
Draw 24.28%
Hearts 55.65%
Livingston
1-0 @ 6.75% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 4.93% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 24.28%
Hearts
0-1 @ 12.63%
0-2 @ 10.49% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.76%
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.03% (-0.07)
Total : 55.65%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Craig Halkett 18' goal
  • Michael Steinwender 75' yellowcard
  • Sabah Kerjota 75' yellowcard
  • Frankie Kent 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samson Lawal 52'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Danso 72'
  • yellowcard Joshua Zimmerman 72'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 83'
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Jorge Grant 29' goal
  • Yutaro Oda 32' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 40' goal
  • Alex Cochrane 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 45'+6' goal
  • goal Sean Kelly 10'
  • goal Sean Kelly 22'
  • yellowcard Tete Yengi 31'
  • redcard Tete Yengi 32'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Kurtis Guthrie 9' goal
  • Tom Parkes 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Andrew Shinnie 79' goal
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 42'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 45'+4'
  • goal Kenneth Vargas 53'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 60'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 64'