Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.