Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Hugill 25' goal
  • Brad Joseph Lyons 56' yellowcard
  • David Watson 56' yellowcard
  • Tom Lowery 67' yellowcard
  • Dominic Thompson 67' yellowcard
  • Findlay Curtis 77' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Smith 63'
  • yellowcard B. McKay 63'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Danso 72'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Bokila 72'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 73'

Kilmarnock vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 44.67% (+0.04)
Draw 25.24%
Livingston 30.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.7% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.3% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 54.62%
Under 2.5 45.38%
Over 3.5 32.06%
Under 3.5 67.94%
Over 4.5 18.46% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.54% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 34.36%
Draw 40.56%
Livingston 25.08%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 52.85%
No Goal 6.05%
Livingston 41.1%

Corners

Over 8 59.41%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 29.24%
Over 9 47.69%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 40.59%
Over 10.5 36.6%
Under 10.5 63.4%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 45.46% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.54% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 7.66% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.34% (-0.01)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 66.5%
Under 0.5 33.5%
Over 1.5 33.65% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.35% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.1%
Under 3.5 95.9%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 44.69%
Draw 25.24%
Livingston 30.11%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.43% (+0.01)
Total : 44.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.24%
Livingston
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 30.11%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tony Macaroni Arena
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Jul 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 88' goal
  • yellowcard Mo Sangare 85'
  • yellowcard Shamal George 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Michael Devlin 77' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 90'+1'