Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.