Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 2 Rangers
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
St Mirren 0 - 5 Motherwell
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Livingston has a probability of 30.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Livingston win is 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Livingston 30.93% (-0.02)
Draw 26.07%
St Mirren 42.94% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.08% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 49.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.78% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.22% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.05% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.95% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Livingston 28.65%
Draw 40.19%
St Mirren 31.16%

Team To Score First

Livingston 42.28%
No Goal 7.18% (-0.02)
St Mirren 50.54% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.55% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.06%
Under 8 20.4% (+0.01)
Over 9 58.23% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 30.45% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 46.63% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 53.37% (+0.01)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 31.44%
Under 1.5 68.56%
Over 2.5 11.44% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.18% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.82% (+0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.8% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.53% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.47% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.33% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.67% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.06% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Livingston 30.93%
Draw 26.07%
St Mirren 42.95%
Livingston
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.07% (-0.02)
Total : 30.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.07%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 10.2% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.95% (+0.01)
Total : 42.95%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Samson Lawal 46' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 46' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 56' goal
  • Joshua Zimmerman 76' yellowcard
  • Alex Tamm 82' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Kabongolo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 46'
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 63'
  • yellowcard Jake Young 63'
  • yellowcard J. Young 63'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 64'
  • yellowcard Tunmise Sobowale 79'
  • goal Alex Gogic 89'
Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Scott Arfield 11' goal
  • Stevie May 73' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 82' yellowcard
  • Tete Yengi 83' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bokila 91' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 91' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Danso 105'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Idowu 4'
  • yellowcard Dan N'Lundulu 61'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 91'
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 104'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 104'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Tunmise Sobowale 111'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 72' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 75'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Tete Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • David Martindale 69' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 68'