Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.