Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Dundee
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Livingston
  • Simon Murray 3' goal
  • Simon Murray 5' goal
  • Imari Samuels 32' yellowcard
  • Scott Wright 46' yellowcard
  • Callum Jones 46' yellowcard
  • Charlie Reilly 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Astley 87' yellowcard
  • Scott Wright 90' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Smith 15'
  • goal Scott Pittman 19'
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 37'
  • yellowcard Cammy Kerr 46'
  • yellowcard Stevie May 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Bokila 79'
  • yellowcard Mohamad Sylla 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Tamm 85'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Bokila 90'+1'

Dundee vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Falkirk 1 - 0 Dundee
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Simon Murray

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lewis Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Dundee 47.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 24.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Livingston 28.2% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.05% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 33.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.03% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Dundee 33.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Livingston 25.58% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Dundee 52.24% ▼ (-0.16)
No Goal 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Livingston 42.34% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 62.7% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 26.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 51.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 37.3% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 40.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 59.62% ▼ (-0.11)

Dundee Goals

Over 1.5 47.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 52.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 22.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 77.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.29% ▼ (-0.03)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 64.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 35.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.1% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 67.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 11.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.68% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 3.4%
Under 3.5 96.6%

Score analysis

Dundee 47.69%
Draw 24.07%
Livingston 28.2%
Dundee
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.07%
Livingston
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Livingston
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee
Scottish Premiership
Livingston
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
Dundee
  • Jeremy Bokila 64' goal
  • Tete Yengi 85' goal
  • Robbie Muirhead 88' yellowcard
  • Connor McLennan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan McGowan 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Yan Dhanda 13'
  • goal Cameron Congreve 18'
  • yellowcard Callum Jones 78'
  • yellowcard Ethan Hamilton 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership
Dundee
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
Livingston
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Dundee
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Livingston
  • Simon Murray 43' goal
  • Joe Westley 66' goal
  • Emile Acquah 82' yellowcard
  • Callum Jones 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamad Sylla 53'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Tait 56'
  • goal Clark Robertson 74' (OG)
  • goal Jeremy Bokila 83'
  • yellowcard Stevie May 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Livingston
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
Dundee
  • Tete Yengi 78' goal
  • goal Amadou Bakayoko 19'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 44'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 53'
  • goal Luke McCowan 62'
  • redcard Luke McCowan 74'
  • goal Zach Robinson 79'
  • goal Michael Mellon 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dundee
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Livingston
  • Joe Shaughnessy 6' yellowcard
  • Joe Shaughnessy 6'+6' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 12' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 12'+12' yellowcard
  • Luke McCowan 57' goal
  • Luke McCowan 57' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Lloyd 47'
  • yellowcard Sean Kelly 56'
  • yellowcard Michael Nottingham 80'

Form Data

Falkirk 1 - 0 Dundee
Celtic 2 - 1 Dundee
St Mirren 0 - 0 Dundee
Rangers 3 - 0 Dundee
Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Dundee
Dundee 0 - 1 Hearts
Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston
Livingston 1 - 2 Falkirk
Livingston 0 - 2 Motherwell
Aberdeen 6 - 2 Livingston
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren