Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Ethan Schilte-Brown 1' goal
  • Dylan Tait 28' goal
  • Barney Stewart 36' goal
  • Barney Stewart 50' goal
  • Dylan Tait 56' goal
  • Henry Cartwright 59' yellowcard
  • E. Williams 75' yellowcard
  • Lewis Neilson 75' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ross 75' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 81' yellowcard
  • goal Greg Kiltie 40'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 58'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 59'
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 64'
  • yellowcard Nicky Clescenco 78'
  • yellowcard Aaron Tshibola 78'

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.63% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.21%).

Result

Falkirk 57.96% (+0.04)
Draw 23.63%
Kilmarnock 18.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.54% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 26.46% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.72% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 26.72%
Under 3.5 73.31% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.85% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.15% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Falkirk 45.82%
Draw 37.73%
Kilmarnock 16.45%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 63.63% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.44% (-0.01)
Kilmarnock 28.93%

Corners

Over 8 62.27% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 26.47% (-0.04)
Over 9 50.35% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.02)
Under 9 37.73% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 38.84%
Under 10.5 61.16%

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 51.14% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.86% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.45% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 89.55% (+0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 52.17% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 47.83% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 19.53%
Under 1.5 80.47%
Over 2.5 5.23%
Under 2.5 94.77%
Over 3.5 1.1%
Under 3.5 98.9%

Score analysis

Falkirk 57.94%
Draw 23.62%
Kilmarnock 18.45%
Falkirk
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.4% (-0.03)
Total : 57.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 23.62%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Total : 18.45%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Polworth 61' yellowcard
  • Lewis Mayo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Cartwright 36'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • goal Brian Graham 54'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Fraser Murray 4' goal
  • Euan Murray 29' yellowcard
  • Jason Naismith 55' goal
  • Fraser Murray 78' goal
  • goal Aidan Nesbitt 8'
  • yellowcard Ernaldo Krasniqi 53'
Scottish League Cup
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium