Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw has a probability of 23.64% and a win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it is 0-1 (6.27%).

Result

Falkirk 57.82%
Draw 23.64%
Kilmarnock 18.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.33%
Under 1.5 26.67%
Over 2.5 48.51%
Under 2.5 51.49%
Over 3.5 26.59%
Under 3.5 73.41%
Over 4.5 15.75%
Under 4.5 84.25%

First Half Winner

Falkirk 45.93%
Draw 37.68%
Kilmarnock 16.39%

Team To Score First

Falkirk 63.79%
No Goal 7.49%
Kilmarnock 28.72%

Corners

Over 8 62.28%
Equal 8 11.27%
Under 8 26.44%
Over 9 50.35%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 37.72%
Over 10.5 38.83%
Under 10.5 61.17%

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 50.9%
Under 1.5 49.1%
Over 2.5 25.5%
Under 2.5 74.5%
Over 3.5 10.38%
Under 3.5 89.62%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 52.15%
Under 0.5 47.85%
Over 1.5 19.53%
Under 1.5 80.47%
Over 2.5 5.21%
Under 2.5 94.79%
Over 3.5 1.09%
Under 3.5 98.91%

Score analysis

Falkirk 57.81%
Draw 23.63%
Kilmarnock 18.55%
Falkirk
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 10.34%
Total : 57.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 23.63%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Polworth 61' yellowcard
  • Lewis Mayo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Cartwright 36'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • goal Brian Graham 54'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Fraser Murray 4' goal
  • Euan Murray 29' yellowcard
  • Jason Naismith 55' goal
  • Fraser Murray 78' goal
  • goal Aidan Nesbitt 8'
  • yellowcard Ernaldo Krasniqi 53'
Scottish League Cup
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium