Scottish Premiership
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Islam Chesnokov 45' goal
  • Jordi Altena 81' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 82' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 46'
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 73'
  • yellowcard Connor Allan 73'
  • yellowcard E. Williams 73'
  • yellowcard Henry Cartwright 73'

Hearts vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 4.30pm
Rangers 4 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk 2 - 3 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 51.59%
Draw 24.01% (-0.02)
Falkirk 24.4% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.31% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.43% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.57% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.31% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.69% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.51% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.49% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Hearts 34.93%
Draw 41.6%
Falkirk 23.48%

Team To Score First

Hearts 55.23%
No Goal 6.15% (-0.03)
Falkirk 38.62% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 60.53% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 28.4% (-0.06)
Over 9 49% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.47% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 37.99% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 62.01% (-0.06)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 49.11%
Under 1.5 50.89%
Over 2.5 23.01% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 76.99% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 8.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.25% (+0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 60.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 27.46% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.54% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.28% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.53%
Under 3.5 97.47%

Score analysis

Hearts 51.58%
Draw 24.01%
Falkirk 24.4%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.12% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.65% (-0.02)
Total : 51.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.01%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
ET Tynecastle Park
  • Blair Spittal 58' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 69' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 69' yellowcard
  • Islam Chesnokov 77' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 86' yellowcard
  • Elton Kabangu 96' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 105'+1' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 106' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Parkinson 46'
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 46'
  • yellowcard Kyrell Wilson 46'
  • goal Ben Parkinson 59'
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 86'
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 87'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 97'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 119'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 120'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Filip Lissah 39' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 85' yellowcard
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 2'
  • yellowcard Tómas Bent Magnússon 28'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 41'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 77'
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Dylan Tait 3' yellowcard
  • Ross Maciver 21' yellowcard
  • Sean Mackie 24' yellowcard
  • Brad Spencer 43' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ross 53' goal
  • Dylan Tait 81' goal
  • Ryan Shanley 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 40'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Vargas 43'
  • yellowcard Gerald Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 90'+4'