Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (6.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.