Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cláudio Braga 28' goal
  • Frankie Kent 84' yellowcard
  • Beni Baningime 87' yellowcard
  • Islam Chesnokov 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Frame 46'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 66'
  • yellowcard Dylan Lobban 71'
  • yellowcard Marko Lazetić 79'

Hearts vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.71% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%) , while for a Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 69.37% (+0.21)
Draw 19.71% (-0.08)
Aberdeen 10.95% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.02% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 48.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.67%
Over 3.5 26% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.89% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.11% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Hearts 48.7% (+0.04)
Draw 36.78%
Aberdeen 14.53% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Hearts 68.87% (+0.25)
No Goal 7.44% (-0.01)
Aberdeen 23.69% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 62.1% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 27.17% (+0.03)
Over 9 50.79% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 37.9% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 39.83% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 60.17% (+0.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 58.29% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 41.71% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 30.78% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 69.22% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 13.18% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 86.82% (-0.13)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 40.85% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 59.15% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 11.81% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 88.19% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 2.33% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 97.67% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.49% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.51% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hearts 69.35%
Draw 19.73%
Aberdeen 10.95%
Hearts
1-0 @ 14.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 14.14% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 9.47% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.17% (+0.12)
Total : 69.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.73%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.48% (-0.02)
Total : 10.95%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 4, 2025 8.00pm
Scottish Cup
Apr 19, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
ET Ibrox Stadium
  • Lawrence Shankland 28' goal
  • Michael Steinwender 44' redcard
  • Cameron Devlin 77' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 116' redcard
  • Musa Drammeh 120'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Gordon 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexander Jensen 78'
  • yellowcard Alfie Dorrington 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mats Knoester 115'
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 118'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Leighton Clarkson 35' yellowcard
  • Luis Lopes 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Penrice 65'