Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Blair Spittal 54' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 54' yellowcard
  • Beni Baningime 76' yellowcard
  • Oisin McEntee 77' goal
  • Islam Chesnokov 86' yellowcard
  • Alan Forrest 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 63'
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 63'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 71'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 72'
  • yellowcard Callum Jones 77'

Hearts vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
Dundee 2 - 2 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ashley Hay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.15% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%) , while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 66.3%
Draw 21.15%
Dundee 12.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.77%
Over 3.5 24.74%
Under 3.5 75.26%
Over 4.5 15.27%
Under 4.5 84.73%

First Half Winner

Hearts 44.19%
Draw 38.06%
Dundee 17.76%

Team To Score First

Hearts 65.18%
No Goal 7.99%
Dundee 26.83%

Corners

Over 8 62.04%
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 26.76%
Over 9 50.21%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 37.97%
Over 10.5 38.8%
Under 10.5 61.2%

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 54.75% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.25% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.81% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.19% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 11.32%
Under 3.5 88.68%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 43.69%
Under 0.5 56.31%
Over 1.5 13.02%
Under 1.5 86.98%
Over 2.5 2.57%
Under 2.5 97.43%
Over 3.5 0.57%
Under 3.5 99.43%

Score analysis

Hearts 66.3%
Draw 21.16%
Dundee 12.56%
Hearts
1-0 @ 15.56%
2-0 @ 13.36%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 11.31%
Total : 66.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.16%
Dundee
0-1 @ 5.26%
1-2 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 12.56%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Elton Kabangu 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 27'
  • goal Simon Murray 38'
  • yellowcard Trevor Carson 75'
  • yellowcard Lyall Cameron 88'
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 90'+6'
Scottish Cup
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Sander Kartum 27' goal
  • Simon Murray 64' goal
  • Sander Kartum 68' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 81' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Shaughnessy 51'
  • yellowcard Mohamad Sylla 56'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Imari Samuels 38' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 15'
  • goal Blair Spittal 17'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 51'
  • goal Musa Drammeh 67'
  • goal Elton Kabangu 77'
  • goal Kenneth Vargas 90'+2'