Scottish Cup
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
Ibrox Stadium

Rangers vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions

Celtic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rangers win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Celtic has a probability of 27.14% and a draw has a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Celtic win is 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result

Rangers 50.43% (-2.58)
Draw 22.42% (+0.73)
Celtic 27.14% (+1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.38% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.73% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 17.27% (+0.92)
Over 2.5 62.22% (-1.40)
Under 2.5 37.78% (+1.40)
Over 3.5 39.64% (-1.52)
Under 3.5 60.36% (+1.52)
Over 4.5 24.98% (-1.50)
Under 4.5 75.02% (+1.50)

First Half Winner

Rangers 38.64% (-1.37)
Draw 36.4% (+0.54)
Celtic 24.96% (+0.84)

Team To Score First

Rangers 56.13% (-2.06)
No Goal 4.3% (+0.30)
Celtic 39.57% (+1.76)

Corners

Over 8 59.34% (-1.16)
Equal 8 10.54% (+0.10)
Under 8 30.12% (+1.07)
Over 9 48.47% (-1.17)
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 40.66% (+1.16)
Over 10.5 38.1% (-1.08)
Under 10.5 61.9% (+1.08)

Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 53.57% (-2.65)
Under 1.5 46.43% (+2.65)
Over 2.5 28.33% (-2.54)
Under 2.5 71.67% (+2.54)
Over 3.5 12.54% (-1.70)
Under 3.5 87.46% (+1.69)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 63.8% (+1.68)
Under 0.5 36.2% (-1.68)
Over 1.5 33.91% (+1.41)
Under 1.5 66.09% (-1.41)
Over 2.5 13.78% (+0.76)
Under 2.5 86.22% (-0.77)
Over 3.5 4.8% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 95.2% (-0.27)

Score analysis

Rangers 50.43%
Draw 22.43%
Celtic 27.15%
Rangers
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 7.79% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.17)
Other @ 12.18% (-1.68)
Total : 50.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 6.23% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.3% (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.02)
Total : 22.43%
Celtic
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.39)
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 2.89% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.20)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.29)
Total : 27.15%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Mar 1, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Youssef Chermiti 8' goal
  • Youssef Chermiti 26' goal
  • Mohamed Diomandé 64' yellowcard
  • Djeidi Gassama 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 46'
  • yellowcard Reo Hatate 46'
  • goal Kieran Tierney 56'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 74'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 74'
  • yellowcard Hyun-jun Yang 74'
  • yellowcard James Forrest 85'
  • goal Reo Hatate 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Reo Hatate 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Hyun-jun Yang 20' goal
  • Julián Araujo 68' yellowcard
  • Shin Yamada 74' yellowcard
  • Reo Hatate 74' yellowcard
  • Liam Scales 88' yellowcard
  • James Forrest 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohamed Diomandé 46'
  • goal Youssef Chermiti 50'
  • goal Youssef Chermiti 59'
  • goal Mikey Moore 71'
  • yellowcard James Tavernier 87'
  • yellowcard Bojan Miovski 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 12.30pm
Scottish League Cup
Nov 2, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Scottish Premiership
Aug 31, 2025 12.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 31, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT